Phoenix Real Estate

Kaushik Sirkar, Ph.D.
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Kaushik Sirkar

  • Can Realtors Please Stop Being Directionally Challenged?

    Looking for Tempe homes for sale?  Chandler homes for sale?  I'll show my clients all homes currently on the market that fit there parameters.  This even includes short sales (Chandler short sales, tempe short sales, Gilbert short sales) - i hear various stories where agents will not show their clients short sales.  Well, short sales make up more than 50% of the listings and some are actually approved short sales.  Gotta show them.  However, there is one type of home I don't like showing my clients.  The ones that we can't get to!

    In our Realtor prinouts, we typically have simple directions on how to get to a property.  These directions are put in by the Listing Agent.  A lack of directions, East instead of West, Right instead of Left, etc, etc, etc.  I see this way too often.  Does the Agent NOT want to sell their client's property?  OK - you say - but you have the address, just punch it into the GPS and you're good.  True.  But what if I'm meeting a client at the property and they don't?

    The point is, don't make it HARDER to sell your listing than it already is.  And unless it was a one time error...if you really can't tell North from South or left from right...maybe this isn't the right business for you?

     

    Kaushik Sirkar
    Your Total Real Estate Solution
    480-600-2808 (cell)
    480-993-0914 (fax)
    www.homesphx.com

  • Looking for homes in Chandler AZ ?

    Curious about the latest Chandler AZ Real Estate specific market statistics?  Well here you go - in the last thirty days absorption rate for the Chandler market continues downward!

     

     SoldActive 
    CityLast 30 days4/21/2009Absorption Rate
    Chandler25414315.63

    Just on 3/24/2009, the Chandler absorption rate was 6.73.  On 3/31/2009 this number had dropped to 5.79.  And now it has dipped a little bit more.  Chandler is in a solidly "balanced" market right now.  Lets look at this data regarding Chandler homes for sale in more detail and break it down by zip code:

    ChandlerActiveSold 
    Zip Code4/21/2009Last 30 daysAbsorption Rate
    85224172364.78
    85225298753.97
    85248336526.46
    85286223454.96
    85226165227.50
    85249446567.96

    The story gets even more interesting.  Homes in 85225 (often cheaper) are going like hotcakes.  Its a solid Seller's market there.  Go further south/east (85249) and you see a much higher absorption rate that suggests we are still in a relative buyers market.  The devil is in the details!

    Finally lets take a peek at some additional overall numbers regarding homes in Chandler :

    Status# ListingsList VolumeSold Volume List PriceSold PriceSale/List PriceApprox SQFTList Price Per Approx SQFTSold Price Per Approx SQFTAgent Days On MarketCumulative Days On Market
    Closed25456,621,14154,096,783Low41,87541,875186722.3317.8200
    Avg222,918212,9790.962,051107.01102.7381105
    High700,000685,0000.985,450234.81200.28501721

    The AVERAGE selling price is just under $213,000.  And not a single million dollar property sold in the last 30 days.  Average SOLD price/sq ft was JUST over 100$/sq ft with an average days on market of 81.  Very interesting information and useful to have when performing back of the envelope calculations regarding a homes potential value/selling price.  Of course for a more detailed analysis we'd look at comparable sales within the subdivision and within a bounded radius.

    I hope you have found this Chandler AZ homes for sale data useful.  Data courtesy of ARMLS - deemed reliable but not guaranteed.  As always don't hesitate to contact me with additional questions!

    Kaushik Sirkar
    Your Total Real Estate Solution
    480-600-2808 (cell)
    480-993-0914 (fax)
    www.homesphx.com

     

  • Ahwatukee AZ Real Estate

    What/where/who/when/why/how is Ahwatukee?  Well, Ahwatukee is a region - a part of Phoenix that is bound by South Mountain to the north and west, I-10 to the east and reservation land to the south.  It is primarily composed of zip codes 85044, 85048, and 85045 and located just west of Chanlder.  Considered by many to be one of the more desirable places to live within the Phoenix metropolitan area, the recent market statistics for Ahwatukee homes for sale shows a distinct shift (like a good portion of the market) to a more balanced market.  The data below shows that the Ahwatukee market absorption rate (ie the # of days for current inventory to disappear without any new listings) is just under 6.  An absorption rate between 5 and 6 suggests a balanced market the last 30 days shows an absorption rate of 5.95.

     

     SoldActive 
    CityLast 30 days4/21/2009Absorption Rate
    Ahwatukee794705.95

     

    There are still plenty of great deals available if you are looking for an Awhatukee home for sale.  These deals may not last all that long, however!

    Kaushik Sirkar
    Your Total Real Estate Solution
    480-600-2808 (cell)
    480-993-0914 (fax)
    www.homesphx.com

  • Your IRA can buy Real Estate for you!

    Thinking about buying additional Real Estate?  Investment property, perhaps?  But with today's tight mortgage guidelines (ie 20+ % downpayments the norm) you don't have the extra cash lying around?  But what about diversification?  You want to invest in Real Estate as well as the stock market.  What is an investor to do?

    Something that is becoming more popular these days - letting your IRA, or 401k (if not currently with the employer) purchase the Real Estate!  You profit will grow tax free.  Your IRA can actually finance these properties for 30 years!  Now, this investment strategy may not be for everyone.  This type of Real Estate transaction isn't as regulated as traditional transactions therefore fees may require investigation.

    If you are interested in diversifying your retirement portfolio, don't have an adequate amount of cash handy and are capable of thinking outside of the box - this may be for you.  But definitely perform your due diligence first!

    Kaushik Sirkar
    Call Realty, Inc.
    480-600-2808 (cell)
    480-993-0914 (fax)
    www.homesphx.com

     

  • An Intro to Real Estate Investing in Phoenix

    I have previously blogged in depth about real estate investing.  With the way the Phoenix metropolitan Real Estate market is shaping up - and considering that a fair percentage of my clients are investors (clients after my own heart!), I thought it was time to speak about Real Estate investment methodology and thought processes again.  Sure we could get into a detailed analysis of multifamily properties, apartment complexes and their associated terminology.  But for the prospective novices, lets keep it simple.

    There are many angles that one can pursue when investing in Real Estate - be it in Phoenix, Chandler, Glendale - wherever in the Valley.  Cashflow - your net in is great than your net out.  The appreciation play - if you have a crystal ball that predicts the future this is the absolute best way to go Wink.  Pay cash - collect the full rent asap (i'm not necessarily a huge fan of this as it ignores the concept of leverage - something i'll touch on in a future blog post).  And of course - the tax angle.  The government actually makes it beneficial to own rental property!  Look at the table below (and don't worry I'll explain the details below!)

    Yearly Interest

    -$7,200

    Yearly Insurance

    -$600

    Yearly Taxes

    -$1,500

    Yearly Property Management Fees

    -$1,080

    Depreciation

    -$4,722

    Totall Annual write-offs

    -$15,102

    Rental income (assume 90% occupancy)

    $10,800

    IRS sees

    -$4,302

    Gain before appreciation

    $420

    After tax cash flow

    $1,625

     

    What is all this saying?  Lets start off with the example - we are talking about a $150,000 dollar house in the Phoenix metropolitan area.  You have purchased this home with 20% ($30,000) down and have a mortgage of $120,000.  The home is renting for $1000/month, has a typical occupancy of 90% and assumes you are paying 10% of the gross rent to a property manager.

    First, from the perspective of cashflow, the property is relatively break-even.  You are making $420 per year.  Great.  But, thanks to our friends at the IRS, there is an added benefit of residential rental property.  DEPRECIATION!  Yes, the government, despite the fact that property often actually appreciates(obviously not always as evidenced by the last few years!) allows one to depreciate rental property.  The depreciation schedule for residential rental property is currently a 27.5 year straight line schedule.  You can't depreciate the land and assume the land was equivalane to 15% of the purchase price.  This means you can depreciate about $127,500 over the course of 27.5 years.  This results in a cashflow as seen by the government of -$4302!!!  What tax bracket are you in?  28%?  This means that your cashflow after taxes is just over $1600.

    Lets extrapolate.  You have a house that a tenant is paying for.  At the end of the year, you actually get cash back thanks to depreciation.  Imagine if you owned multiple properties.  That someone else was paying for.  And the government helped you along the way.

    PLEASE consult your CPA or other tax professional for accurate tax advice.  This is a somewhat simplified example.  But I hope you get the point.

    Kaushik Sirkar
    Your Total Real Estate Solution
    480-600-2808 (cell)
    480-993-0914 (fax)
    www.homesphx.com

     

     

  • Phoenix - a Balanced Real Estate Market ?!

    I just recently started blogging again.  Two posts ago, I defined Absorption Rate and pointed out how the Absorption Rate for homes in the Phoenix metropolitan area had been trending down.  I must also point out that I originally (some 2 years ago) got the idea to post Absorption Rate statistics from a colleague - Jonathan Dalton.  Well guess what - and this isn't an April Fool's joke.  The Phoenix Real Estate market may now actually be "balanced" with balanced defined as an Absorption Rate between 5 and 6 months with regards to a supply of single family detached homes (Valleywide we are now at about 5.5 months supply).  Many towns in the metro area are actually now seller's markets while some areas, primarily older areas closer in remain buyer's markets (less foreclosures due to more owners having been there for long periods of time?).  See the latest data below (per ARMLS, deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

     

     

    Sold

    Active

     

     

    City

    Last 30 days

    3/31/2009

    Absorption Rate

    % Change

    Avondale

    192

    716

    3.73

    -0.46

    Buckeye

    242

    1012

    4.18

    -1.17

    Chandler

    277

    1605

    5.79

    -0.94

    Fountain Hills

    44

    460

    10.45

    -2.82

    Gilbert

    312

    1763

    5.65

    -0.71

    Glendale

    353

    1643

    4.65

    -0.80

    Goodyear

    179

    800

    4.47

    -1.15

    Laveen

    112

    444

    3.96

    -1.30

    Maricopa

    258

    817

    3.17

    -0.78

    Mesa

    553

    2732

    4.94

    -1.18

    Paradise Valley

    6

    579

    96.50

    32.28

    Peoria

    242

    1350

    5.58

    -1.17

    Phoenix

    1959

    8352

    4.26

    -0.96

    Queen Creek

    418

    1329

    3.18

    -0.36

    Scottsdale

    242

    3929

    16.24

    -1.09

    Surprise

    345

    1413

    4.10

    -0.63

    Tempe

    58

    498

    8.59

    -1.96

    Tolleson

    98

    413

    4.21

    -1.07

    Now what does this all mean?  I don't necessarily have a crystal ball.  I suppose its theoretically possible that not a single additional home will sell in the month of April.  But in reality, there are probably multiple factors built into these new developments.  Various efforts by the government to reduce foreclosures.  Reduced prices as the bubble continued to burst.  Pent up buyer demand.  HISTORICALLY low interest rates.

    Whatever the case may be, whatever the future may hold, mark April Fool's day of 2009 as the day when the Phoenix Real Estate market MAY have turned a corner. 

  • What's a Short Sale Again?

    I continue to receive this question - so I thought I'd post the answer for everyone to see.  If you already know the answer - feel free to ignore this post.  Otherwise, pay attention.  A short sale situation occurs when the selling price of a home is less than the amount that is owed to the bank.  This is not an uncommon scenario at all in the current phoenix housing market where we have seen price drops on the order of 50% (or more in some areas) from the highs of a few years ago.

    You are planning on listing (and selling) your home for $200,000.  The problem is, you bought it a few years ago at a much higher price and still owe, say, $300,000.  If you have an extra $100,000 lying around to cover the difference, great!  If you don't - then you are a candidate for a short sale - where the lienholder (bank) will have to agree to the transaction and "eat" the difference.

    There are typically credit implications to doing a short sale, especially when the owner falls behind on mortgage payments.  Can everyone do a short sale?  Depends.  If you are up to date on your payments, rolling in excess income and have no quantifiable hardship....easier said than done.  Lost a job?  Suffering some other financial hardship?  Potentially easier to convince the bank to play ball.

    Why should you care?  Well, well over half of the listings in the MLS are currently short sales.  As a seller, understand what is required.  As a buyer - expect to wait for a while...potentially MANY months before getting an answer on a short sale offer.

     Ain't Real Estate just grand? Big Smile

  • Absorption Rate?

    Buyers market.  Sellers market.  Sure, globally most folks understand what this terminology means.  But how do we quantify these types of markets?  One of the most common measures of a real estate market is the absorption rate - the rate at which all the current homes would be removed from the market, selling at their current pace, without the addition of any further inventory.  Traditionally, an absorption rate around 5 suggests a balanced market.  Going up from 5 yields a buyers market whereas approaching 0 suggests a sellers market.

    I tend to focus on single family homes when looking at absorption rates.  Not that including townhomes or condos is wrong - they are simply a slightly different animal.  Please see below current absorption rates throughout the Valley:

     

    Sold

    Active

     

    City

    Last 30 days

    3/24/2009

    Absorption Rate

    Avondale

    184

    771

    4.19

    Buckeye

    203

    1087

    5.35

    Chandler

    246

    1656

    6.73

    Fountain Hills

    36

    478

    13.28

    Gilbert

    288

    1833

    6.36

    Glendale

    319

    1740

    5.45

    Goodyear

    152

    854

    5.62

    Laveen

    93

    490

    5.27

    Maricopa

    220

    869

    3.95

    Mesa

    476

    2913

    6.12

    Paradise Valley

    9

    578

    64.22

    Peoria

    214

    1445

    6.75

    Phoenix

    1691

    8839

    5.23

    Queen Creek

    398

    1409

    3.54

    Scottsdale

    230

    3984

    17.32

    Surprise

    317

    1499

    4.73

    Tempe

    48

    506

    10.54

    Tolleson

    82

    433

    5.28

    Avondale, Maricopa, Queen Creek and Surprise are all seller's markets (gasp!).  Buckeye, Glendale, Goodyear, Laveen, Phoenix and Tolleson all appear to be balanced markets.  Gilbert, Mesa, Peoria, and Chandler, though technically buyer's markets are not that far from being categorized as buyer's markets.  Finally, Paradise Valley, Fountain Hills and Scottsdale have double digit absorption rates.  Apparently the more expensive homes are still not selling at a high clip....

    Overall (not shown) the valley-wide absorption rate is a tad on the buyer's market side hovering around six and a half.  This indicator continues to show improvement and suggests we are closer to the bottom than many folks would like to think.

    All data is provided by ARMLS - data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

  • Realtors have a FIDUCIARY duty to their clients

    http://www.inman.com/news/2008/04/15/jury-sides-with-realtor-in-dispute-over-sales-price

    See this article.  Do I know what went on behind the scenes?  Nope.  Did this Realtor act ethically?  Did they fulfill their fiduciary duty to their clients?  I have no way of knowing.  But it is an opportunity for me to bring up the topic of Fiduciary duty as it relates to Realtors.  A Realtor has a Fiduciary duty to his/her clients - that is to do what is in their clients best interest!  There are certainly many implications to this....showing ALL properties that fall within their clients parameters, not just those with higher commissions.  Being truthful about current market conditions and not "painting a picture" the might artificially promote a transaction.  You get the idea.

    Is your Realtor concerned with your best interest?  Or are they looking for the biggest/quickest buck they can make?  Certainly something to think about....

  • Are We Near the Botton in Phoenix?

    A subtle reminder - I don't have a crystal ball.  But notice that sales have gone up every month this year....Jan, Feb, March.  Of course, that isn't uncommon to see a seasonal trend AND the sales #'s still don't approach those going back 5+ years.  But even more telling is the flattening out of median resale price the last couple of months after obvious drops for 6+ months.  If the median stays flat and doesn't go down further....then we are likely at the bottom of the market....
  • Tips for first time buyers

    As I have stated before, the majority of my blogging has been done on the Active Rain network.  Its where I got my start and I will of course continue contributing.  But I also think its time I started venturing out on my 'own' a little bit.  And here we are - I am writing a blog post on my own website!  And what is my topic today?  Its a simple one yet one that can't be emphasized and/or discussed often enough - tip for the first time buyer!  First time buyers are always out there and are always, always looking for information.  Its our job as Real Estate Professionals to provide that help :)

    I found this article very interesing at msn.com.  Its some fundamental advice geared towards first time buyers that IS solid and bears REPEATING!  Please click the link for details, but in general they touch upon 8 topics which I will highlight below :

    1) Have a budget!

    2) Have a big downpayment, ideally 20%

    3) Have a steady stream of income (unless you are buying all cash, you'll need to pay a mortgage!

    4) Have an emergency stash of money.  You never know when your call will die, an appliance will break or you'll need medical treatment.

    5) Don't have a whole bunch of debt - ideally your debt-to-income ratio should be no worse than 38% (factoring in your proposed mortgage).

    6) Have good credit.  In today's lending market, sub-prime folks aren't getting the loans they used to...

    7) Plan on being in the house for a while.  At least 3-5 years.

    8) Be ready to become your own landlord.  You have to take care of your own leaks, lawn, etc.

    Hope you find this informative and thanks for reading!!!

  • Test

    This is my first blog post....off of my own website, that is! Smile

    http://www.activerain.com/blogs/ksirkar  is where I have been blogging to this point.  But I plan on posting some more here as well soon!!

  • 3 Story For Sale in Park Place Village

    IMG_0227

    • 1,187 sq. ft., 2 bath, 3 bdrm 3 story "Multilevel Townhome" - MLS® #2679964   $210,000 - Best Price in Subdivision

     -  Amazing Gilbert location. This immaculate townhome is located close to pool and community features. Unit contains upgraded wood flooring, upgraded carpeting as well as beautiful wood cabinetry. Spacious loft may be used as a bedroom, den or office. Tenant occupied until May at $995.00/month

    Property information